Decades of experience in understanding the global, regional and local energy systems through coherent modelling, scenario analysis and strategy development.
Energy Systems
Energy systems are global and complex with long supply chains and interactions between local, regional and global markets. What happens in one geography or sector will have affects in other geographies and sectors. Effective policy making will need to take this reality into account, as are strategies of companies to grow their business. This holds particularly for new energies to know and understand their growth potential in the realm of affordable energy to society.
Scenarios Building
Building scenarios is exploring the future business environment of companies taking politics, economics, technology and other key drivers into consideration. How will their interaction change over time and how may that affect a company's business?
Scenarios are not forecasts, predictions or wishful thinking, but provide a plausible set of alternative futures a company will have to deal with if it wants to prosper.
Strategic Planning
How does an organisation move from A to B to fulfil its envisaged mission?
Scenarios can help formulating a more robust vision, or help stress testing existing strategies or Business Plans. How can an organisation deal with disruptors? Where are the key risks to mitigate and in what part of the value chain will the company be most resilient?
One element often overlooked is shaping one's own business environment. A scenario context can help regulators changing rules.
A few examples of past and present projects
Shipping Scenarios
What are the most viable alternative fuels for shipping and how fast could a transition to low carbon fuels take place regionally and globally?
Private Equity
What are the most promising new energy technologies to invest in?
Strengthening Investment committees decisions with the viability of new technologies, where in the value chain the best opportunities lie, key market risk and process designs for scale-up.
Legal Disputes
Courts are getting more and more drawn in to further the energy transition. Lawyers and judges are faced with the huge task to merge their deep understanding of the law with how different energy systems and environmental footprints work in practice.
Here is a link to an article on the pitfalls and unintended consequences.
ES3 works directly with key decisionmakers in organisations such that they can build a comprehensive understanding of all the key elements affecting their business in their own heads. Once clutter is put aside, key drivers and their interactions can be internalised by decisionmakers so that they can work out in their own minds what the appropriate actions could be for their organisations over time as the business environment evolves. This process is not via traditional consultancy and "read my report", but often via bespoke 1:1 interactions. This allows key decisionmakers to explore ideas and have questions answered in a calm and safe setting.
ES3 can help you understand the global, regional and local energy systems, how they interact, how they might evolve under varying societal, political, economic and innovation pressures, and at what speed it might impact your business.
